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Dubai Real Estate Weekly Market Analysis 11-May-2026

Dubai Housing Demand Projection 2026-2035

3% Annual Population Growth Scenario Prepared for: Rashid JehangirDate: March 13, 2026Location: Dubai, UAE Executive Summary This report analyzes Dubai’s residential housing needs under a conservative growth scenario that accounts for regional geopolitical tensions, including the ongoing Iran conflict and recent security incidents in Dubai. The projection applies to a cautious 3% annual growth rate for 2026-2027, followed by recovery to pre-crisis growth rates for 2028-2035. Key Findings: Methodology and Assumptions Population Base Dubai’s 2026 resident population is estimated at approximately 4.47 million [1]. This represents the starting baseline for all projections in this analysis. Growth Rate A conservative, phased growth rate approach is applied to reflect current geopolitical realities: This conservative approach accounts for potential short-term headwinds from regional tensions while recognizing Dubai’s historical resilience and diversification strategies [1][8]. Household Formation The analysis uses an average household size of 4 persons per household, consistent with Dubai’s observed patterns [2][3]. In 2024, Dubai added 59,610 new households with an average size of 4 people, supporting this assumption [2]. Calculation Formula For each year: Where: Geopolitical Context and Risk Factors Regional Security Environment (March 2026) Dubai’s real estate market operates within a complex regional security landscape that influences population flows and investor sentiment: Conservative Modeling Approach Given these factors, this analysis adopts a conservative stance for the 2026-2027 period: However, the model assumes recovery from 2028 onward based on: 5-Year Housing Demand Projection (2026-2030) Year Population Annual Increase New Homes Cumulative Homes (millions) (people) Needed 2026-Year 2026 4.60 134,000 33,500 33,500 2027 4.74 138,000 34,500 68,000 2028 4.88 142,000 35,500 103,500 2029 5.03 147,000 36,750 140,250 2030 5.18 151,000 37,750 178,000 Total +0.71M 712,000 177,500 – Table 1: Five-year housing demand projection for Dubai (2026-2030) Key Insights: 5-Year Period 10-Year Housing Demand Projection (2026-2035) Year Population Annual Increase New Homes Cumulative Homes (millions) (people) Needed 2026-Year 2026 4.60 134,000 33,500 33,500 2027 4.74 138,000 34,500 68,000 2028 4.88 142,000 35,500 103,500 2029 5.03 147,000 36,750 140,250 2030 5.18 151,000 37,750 178,000 2031 5.34 155,000 38,750 216,750 2032 5.50 160,000 40,000 256,750 2033 5.67 165,000 41,250 298,000 2034 5.84 170,000 42,500 340,500 2035 6.02 176,000 44,000 384,500 Total +1.55M 1,538,000 384,500 – Table 2: Ten-year housing demand projection for Dubai (2026-2035) Key Insights: 10-Year Period Market Context and Comparisons Historical Performance Dubai’s residential market has demonstrated capacity to absorb significant new supply in recent years: Supply Pipeline According to recent forecasts, Dubai’s residential development pipeline includes [6][7]: Demand-Supply Balance Period Projected Demand Reported Pipeline Balance (3% growth) (market forecasts) 2026 33,500 units 160,000 units [6] Oversupply 2026-2030 177,500 units Data not specified – 2026-2035 384,500 units – – Table 3: Comparison of projected demand versus reported supply pipeline Note: The 2026 pipeline figure of 160,000 units likely includes planned, under-construction, and speculative projects, not all of which will be completed in 2026[6]. Actual annual completions typically run lower than total planned units. Geopolitical Impact on Supply-Demand Balance Current regional tensions introduce additional considerations: Sensitivity Analysis Impact of Household Size Variations Household size significantly affects housing demand calculations. The table below shows how annual 2026 demand varies with different household size assumptions: Household Size 2026 New Homes Needed vs. Base Case (persons/household) 3.0 persons 44,700 +33% 3.5 persons 38,300 +14% 4.0 persons (base) 33,500 baseline 4.5 persons 29,800 -11% 5.0 persons 26,800 -20% Table 4: Sensitivity of housing demand to household size assumptions Dubai’s household size has remained relatively stable at approximately 4 persons per household based on recent data [2][3]. However, shifts in demographic composition, housing preferences, or regulatory changes could alter this metric over time. Impact of Growth Rate Variations The 3% annual growth rate is a scenario assumption. Actual growth may vary based on economic conditions, policy changes, and geopolitical factors: Growth Rate 2026 Demand 5-Year Total 10-Year Total 2.0% 22,400 115,000 244,000 2.5% 27,900 145,000 312,000 3.0% (base) 33,500 177,500 384,500 3.5% 39,100 211,000 461,000 4.0% 44,700 246,000 542,000 Table 5: Sensitivity of housing demand to population growth rate assumptions Geopolitical scenario analysis: Implications for Real Estate Market Developer Planning Investment Considerations Policy and Infrastructure Limitations and Considerations Model Assumptions This analysis makes several simplifying assumptions: Additional Demand Factors Beyond population growth, several factors influence actual housing demand: Market Dynamics Real estate markets rarely operate in perfect equilibrium: Conclusion Under a conservative growth scenario that accounts for current geopolitical headwinds, Dubai will require substantial new housing supply over the coming decade. The analysis projects: These figures represent baseline demand from population growth alone, assuming 4 persons per household. Actual market requirements will be influenced by investor activity, replacement demand, demographic shifts, economic conditions, and most critically, the evolution of regional geopolitical tensions. Risk-Adjusted Perspective The conservative 3% growth rate for 2026-2027 provides downside protection but may prove pessimistic if: Conversely, risks remain if regional conflicts escalate, security incidents increase in frequency, or global economic conditions deteriorate beyond current assumptions. Strategic Implications Current development pipelines appear robust, with significant planned supply for 2026 and beyond [6][7]. In the current environment: Continuous monitoring of population trends, household formation patterns, supply delivery, and crucially, regional security developments will be essential for maintaining market balance and supporting sustainable growth in Dubai’s residential sector. References [1] Global Media Insight. (2026, March 9). United Arab Emirates (UAE) Population Statistics 2026. https://www.globalmediainsight.com/blog/uae-population-statistics/ [2] Emirates 24/7. (2025, April 30). Dubai’s Peak-Time Population Hits 5.13 Million, 59,600 New Households Added in 2024. https://www.emirates247.com/uae/dubai-s-peak-time-population-hits-5-13-million [3] CEIC Data. (2015, November 30). United Arab Emirates Average Size of Households: Census: Dubai. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/united-arab-emirates/size-of-households-average/average-size-of-households-census-dubai [4] Khaleej Times. (2025, November 23). 470 New Residents, Only 150 Homes a Day: Dubai’s Population Outpacing Residential Supply. https://www.khaleejtimes.com/business/markets/dubai-population-outpacing-residential-supply [5] Gulf News. (2025, September 4). Dubai Records Fastest Population Growth in Its History, Surpassing 4 Million Residents. https://gulfnews.com/uae/dubai-records-fastest-population-growth-in-its-history-surpassing-4-million-residents-1.500258586 [6] Elite Property DXB. (2026, February 9). Dubai Real Estate Market Forecast 2026: 160,000 New Residential Units Planned. https://elitepropertydxb.com/blogs/dubai-real-estate-market-forecast-2026-160000-new-residential-units-planned [7] Gulf News. (2026, February 17). UAE to Add 390,000 New Homes by 2030: Impact on Prices and Rents. https://gulfnews.com/business/property/uae-to-add-390000-new-homes-by-2030-what-it-means-for-prices-rents-1.500447193 [8] Note: Geopolitical context …

April 22, 2026
16
Real Estate

Dubai Real Estate Market Review 14-May-2026

Dubai Real Estate Market: A Resilient Investment Destination Amid Regional Dynamics

Market Analysis ReportMarch 2026 Executive Summary Despite ongoing geopolitical tensions involving Iran and regional security concerns, Dubai’s real estate market continues to demonstrate exceptional resilience and sustained growth momentum, underpinned by robust structural fundamentals, strong investor confidence, and a proven track record of recovery from past crises. This comprehensive report examines Dubai’s historical resilience through the 2008 financial crisis and COVID-19 pandemic, analyzes current market performance with extensive data through Q4 2025, and identifies the key positive factors supporting the emirate’s continued attractiveness for real estate investors. Key findings: Why Global Capital Continues to Choose UAE Real Estate In global property markets, confidence is everything. When uncertainty rises across the world, capital does not disappear, it moves toward stability. This is exactly what we are witnessing in the United Arab Emirates. The UAE real estate market is not driven by short-term speculation, but by structural demand tied to global capital migration, business relocation, and long-term residency. Entrepreneurs, international professionals, and high-net-worth individuals are not simply investing—they are building their future here. More than 200 nationalities now live and work in the UAE, transforming the country into one of the world’s most international business and residential hubs [79]. History demonstrates a clear pattern: after every global disruption—from the 2008 financial crisis to the COVID-19 pandemic—the UAE real estate market did not weaken. Instead, it emerged stronger, more regulated, and more attractive to international capital [11][12][13][14]. In a world searching for safe investment environments, the UAE has built something rare: a real estate market supported by economic stability, strong governance, and global demand. For investors looking beyond short-term volatility, the conclusion is increasingly clear: UAE real estate is not just a regional opportunity, it is becoming one of the world’s most reliable long-term investment platforms[77][78][79]. Historical Resilience: Learning from Past Crises 2008 Global Financial Crisis Dubai’s real estate sector experienced a severe correction during the 2008–2009 global financial crisis, with property values declining approximately 50–60% from peak levels as liquidity evaporated and speculative demand collapsed [11]. The recovery period extended from 2009 through 2014, during which prices gradually returned to pre-crisis levels supported by renewed investor confidence, infrastructure development, and the return of foreign capital inflows [11][12]. The 2014–2019 period saw a secondary adjustment of 25–30% as oil price volatility and regional economic headwinds weighed on sentiment [12]. However, this extended correction created attractive entry valuations that would later underpin the current market expansion, establishing a more sustainable pricing foundation than the speculative peaks of the mid-2000s. COVID-19 Pandemic Response The COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 initially disrupted transaction volumes and created short-term uncertainty across global real estate markets [13]. Dubai’s response—characterized by rapid reopening protocols, comprehensive vaccination campaigns, targeted economic stimulus, and flexible visa policies—enabled the market to rebound within approximately 12–18 months, significantly faster than comparable international cities [13][14]. The delayed Expo 2020 (held October 2021–March 2022) served as a catalyst for recovery, driving tourism, business activity, and global media attention that reinforced Dubai’s positioning as a resilient, forward-looking market [15]. This swift recovery from an unprecedented global health crisis demonstrated the structural strength of Dubai’s real estate fundamentals and the effectiveness of government policy response mechanisms. Key Recovery Characteristics Both historical episodes reveal consistent patterns in Dubai’s crisis response and recovery trajectory: These characteristics suggest that Dubai’s real estate sector possesses institutional resilience mechanisms that enable faster recoveries than markets lacking similar policy flexibility and economic diversity [13][14]. Current Market Performance: Record Growth Through 2025 Transaction Volume and Value Dubai’s real estate market achieved unprecedented transaction levels in 2025, establishing new benchmarks across multiple metrics and demonstrating sustained momentum throughout the year [1][2][16][49][50]: Annual Performance: Total real estate market activity (including all transaction types) reached AED 917 billion in 2025, marking 20% year-on-year growth and representing the highest annual value on record for the emirate [49]. This encompasses residential sales, commercial transactions, and other real estate procedures, demonstrating broad-based market strength across all segments. Metric 2024 2025 Total market transactions (all types) AED 761 bn AED 917 bn Residential sales transactions 180,860 214,912 Residential sales value AED 522.4 bn AED 682.5 bn Year-on-year growth (value) +20% +30.6% Year-on-year growth (volume) +36% +18.8% H1 transaction value AED 345 bn AED 431 bn Q4 sales value AED 147.8 bn AED 187.5 bn December sales value AED 42.7 bn AED 64.8 bn Table 1: Dubai real estate transaction performance, 2024–2025 The fourth quarter of 2025 delivered the strongest quarterly performance on record at AED 187.5 billion, driven by consecutive record months in October (AED 58.4 billion), November (AED 64.2 billion), and December (AED 64.8 billion) [2][16]. This sustained momentum through year-end contradicts typical seasonal patterns and indicates robust underlying demand rather than transient speculative activity. Quarterly Progression: The market demonstrated consistent quarter-over-quarter growth throughout 2024 and 2025. Q2 2025 recorded AED 144.7 billion in transactions, representing 26.8% quarter-over-quarter growth and 39.7% year-on-year increase, with 48,519 transactions registered [51]. The second half of 2025 consistently outperformed the first half, averaging 19,444 transactions per month compared to 16,400 in H1, demonstrating accelerating rather than plateauing demand [59]. Price Performance Across Segments Residential property values continued their upward trajectory through 2025, with differentiated performance across property types reflecting supply-demand dynamics in specific segments [3][4][17]: Villa segment: Apartment segment: Market dynamics: Villas outperformed apartments significantly due to supply scarcity, with some villa areas experiencing 35%+ price increases, while apartments benefited from strong demand from young professionals and expatriates seeking central locations with shorter commutes [68]. The average price range per square foot across all segments in 2025 spanned AED 1,100–1,400 for mid-range properties, while premium areas regularly exceeded AED 2,500–3,000 per square foot [68]. Top performing areas by price growth (2025): Dubai experienced differentiated price performance across neighborhoods, with value-oriented and infrastructure-connected areas leading to appreciation rates[41][63][66]: Luxury and ultra-prime segments: Off-Plan Market Dominance Off-plan transactions maintained dominant market share throughout 2025, reflecting sustained investor confidence in Dubai’s development pipeline and developer credibility [22][23][51][54][57]: This off-plan dominance is supported by improved regulatory frameworks including RERA oversight, …

April 22, 2026
17
News&Media

Dubai Real Estate Market Review 15-May-2026

Dubai Real Estate Market Review 12-Mar-2026

Dubai PropTech Hub to unlock over $14.4 billion in annual worker productivity Real Estate Technology 2033: Dubai’s Strategy for a Smart Future Dubai’s PropTech Hub launched Real Estate Technology 2033, a whitepaper identifying models that could add AED 53 billion annually to the economy. Backed by DIFC and DLD, the strategy aims to double PropTech’s contribution by 2033, strengthen transparency, and position Dubai as a global urban innovation leader. Read the full article on Emirates 24/7 Dubai’s new shared housing law: 6 changes if you rent a bed space or share a flat Dubai’s new shared housing law will require permits, set occupancy and space limits, restrict shared units to approved areas, allow only owners or licensed firms to rent them out, impose stricter safety rules, and introduce heavy fines. Existing operators have one year to comply. Read the full article on Gulf News DIFC’s Dubai PropTech Hub to unlock over $14.4 billion in annual worker productivity Dubai’s PropTech 2033 whitepaper says PropTech is evolving into AI-driven urban infrastructure, with two business cases alone potentially adding AED53 billion annually. Backed by DIFC and DLD, the initiative aims to boost innovation, attract global scale-ups, and strengthen Dubai’s position as a global PropTech hub. Read the full article on Economy Middle East Why Venture Capitalists Are Laser-Focused on Dubai Real Estate In 2026 Dubai’s real estate boom is being driven by strong transaction growth, foreign investor demand, tax advantages, the Golden Visa, tourism, and economic expansion. The market offers attractive yields and PropTech potential, but investors should remain mindful of cyclicality, oversupply risks, and past boom-bust corrections. Read the full article on Venture Burn It’s business as usual, with sales reaching up to $100 million a day, says Azizi CEO Azizi Group says Dubai property activity remains resilient despite regional tensions, with construction progressing normally, strong daily sales, and no price cuts. The developer is continuing launches as planned and announced a Dh75 billion hospitality expansion, underscoring confidence in sustained demand and Dubai’s ability to recover quickly. Read the full article on Khaleej Times AUM Development launches 93-unit residential development in Dubai AUM Development launched Ryze Residences in Warsan, a 93-unit project starting at AED599,000 with a 40/60 payment plan. Targeting end-users and investors, it aims to benefit from Warsan’s growing connectivity, proximity to Academic City, and rising rental demand from students and young professionals. Read the full article on Zawya Dubai property demand holds strong as investors look past tensions The Dubai property market is continuing to attract investor interest despite regional tensions, with brokers saying international buyers still view the emirate as a safe destination for capital during periods of global uncertainty. Read the full article on Arabian Business 15,900 homes set to enter Abu Dhabi market this year Abu Dhabi’s residential market hit record highs in 2025, with sales rising 55% to Dh73.2 billion, led by off-plan demand. About 15,900 units are scheduled for completion in 2026, while prices and rents continue to climb amid strong investor appetite, population growth, and expanding development activity. Read the full article on Gulf News METAC Properties marks a landmark first at its Dubai Islands development METAC Properties has completed Haven Living, the first residential building on Dubai Islands to receive a building completion certificate. The milestone highlights the developer’s execution capability, with a second project nearing delivery and a third in preparation as it expands its presence in the destination. Read the full article on Khaleej Times Urban Capital Development officially enters Abu Dhabi market Urban Capital Development has entered the UAE property market through a strategic partnership with Al Dhafra International Projects Group. The developer plans heritage- and sustainability-led projects, starting with a residential and commercial scheme on Al Reem Island, followed by future developments on Saadiyat, Yas, and Masdar City. Read the full article on Construction Week Online Dubai’s Azizi Developments plans to raise up to $1 billion through sukuk Azizi Developments plans to raise $500 million to $1 billion through a sukuk by November 2026 to support future acquisitions. The move comes as the developer expands aggressively in Dubai and hospitality, while Moody’s expects steady corporate sukuk issuance amid strong business activity and lower rates. Read the full article on Khaleej Times Dubai Real Estate Transactions as Reported on the 11th of March 2026 On the 11-Mar-2026, the total transacted value reached AED 1,547,340,377. Off-plan dominated with AED 878,879,573 (56.8%), while Ready accounted for AED 668,460,804 (43.2%). Category Off-Plan (AED millions) Ready (AED millions) Flats 696.3 487.2 Villas 162.0 143.7 Hotel Apt. & Rooms 5.2 9.7 Commercial 15.3 27.9 Total 878.9 668.5 Off-Plan Market Performance Total Value: AED 878,879,573 Off-plan activity remained firmly led by flats, which accounted for nearly four-fifths of this segment, while villas provided solid secondary support and other asset classes played a much smaller role. Ready Market Performance Total Value: AED 668,460,804 The ready market also leaned heavily toward flats, although villas captured a stronger share here than in off-plan, pointing to healthy demand for completed family-oriented stock alongside apartment transactions. On The Micro Level Market Insights & Outlook Dubai’s transaction activity on 11 March reflected a market still centered on residential demand, with off-plan maintaining the lead over ready stock. The strong weighting toward flats in both segments indicates continued appetite for liquid, broadly accessible unit types, while the ready market’s relatively higher villa share suggests end-user and upgrade demand remains present. Overall, the market structure points to a healthy mix of future supply absorption and completed-home demand. Data Source: Dubai Land Department *Only freehold transactions were used

April 22, 2026
11
News&Media

Dubai Real Estate Market Review 06-May-2026

Dubai Real Estate Market Review 11-Mar-2026

Mohammed bin Rashid issues Law on quality, safety of buildings in Dubai Sharjah rents surge as demand reshapes housing choices across the emirate Sharjah’s rental market is rapidly rising, with average annual rents jumping 33% year-on-year to Dh60,000. Strong demand, new lifestyle communities, and population inflows are driving increases across many districts, while existing tenants remain protected by a three-year rent freeze, widening the gap between old and new lease prices. Read the full article on Gulf Business ‘Stability, not panic’: Dubai real estate companies have faith despite Iran war Dubai’s property market remains active despite regional conflict, recording 3,570 transactions worth Dh11.93bn in a week. Viewing activity is rebounding, though inquiries are down 45%. Analysts expect stability in prices, while prolonged conflict could weigh on the luxury segment, even as strong market fundamentals continue supporting demand. Read the full article on The National Mohammed bin Rashid issues Law on quality, safety of buildings in Dubai Dubai Law No. 3 of 2026 sets mandatory building quality and safety standards across all Dubai zones, requiring owners to obtain a Quality & Safety Certificate after inspections. Certificates last 10 years (<40 years old) or 5 years (≥40). Dubai Municipality oversees assessments via a system; violations bring AED100–1,000,000 fines. Read the full article on Zawya Emaar’s Palace Residences Creek Blue awards contract to Abanos Palace Residences Creek Blue is a luxury waterfront development on Dubai Creek, blending modern premium living with traditional architectural elements. The project targets affluent local and international buyers, supporting Dubai’s upscale urban growth. Abanos won the fit-out contract, highlighting its rising profile and reputation for delivering high-quality, large-scale interior solutions. Read the full article on Construction Week Online Azizi breaks ground on its first 5-star hotel in Dubai Azizi Developments has started construction of its first 5-star hotel at Azizi Riviera (MBR City), launching a AED 75bn hospitality push. Through Azizi Hospitality, it plans 151 hotels (mostly in Dubai), adding ~60,000 rooms and 75,000+ jobs, including a 7-star hotel in Burj Azizi on Sheikh Zayed Road. Read the full article on Zawya Abu Dhabi property market defies uncertainty, records over $1 billion in weekly deals in March Abu Dhabi’s property market stayed resilient despite regional conflict, with Dh4.267bn in first-week March sales. Top deals included an Dh88m Hidd Al Saadiyat villa (ready) and an Dh68m Four Seasons Saadiyat duplex (off-plan). Analysts cite strong 2025 growth, disciplined supply, and rising prices/rents supporting momentum into 2026. Read the full article on Khaleej Times Ardian and ADIA to launch new real estate secondaries platform Ardian and an ADIA-owned subsidiary will launch a real estate secondaries platform, betting on growing demand for liquidity and a valuation reset. The real estate secondaries market hit a record $20bn in 2025. Ardian aims to apply its secondaries expertise more systematically, expanding its long-standing partnership with ADIA. Read the full article on GDN Rentify launches UAE’s first AI-native rent infrastructure with ‘Rentify Pay’ Rentify launched Rentify Pay, positioning it as the UAE’s first “rent-native” infrastructure layer. It expands beyond “Rent Now, Pay Later” into an AI-powered platform that digitizes rental payments, records, and visibility for tenants and landlords, adds rewards via 200+ partners, and plans utilities and deeper automation. Free for landlords for year one. Read the full article on Zawya Fitch: UAE homebuilders to focus on preserving cash amid Middle East conflict Fitch says UAE homebuilders may shift to cash preservation after regional conflict reduced viewings and likely overseas demand. Near-term stability comes from pre-sales and escrowed cash, helping complete already sold projects. Risks focus on future, debt-seeded launches needing 60–65% pre-sales. Authorities may ease land/escrow terms; developers may extend payment plans, but that can raise debt. Read the full article on Zawya Dubai Real Estate Transactions as Reported on the 10th of March 2026 On the 10-Mar-2026, the total transacted value reached AED 1.81bn. Off-plan dominated with AED 983.0m (54.4%), while Ready accounted for AED 825.4m (45.6%). Category Off-Plan (AED millions) Ready (AED millions) Flats 767.1 469.3 Villas 163.0 252.5 Hotel Apt. & Rooms 6.5 17.2 Commercial 46.4 86.4 Total 983.0 825.4 Off-Plan Market Performance Total Value: AED 983.0m Off-plan activity was overwhelmingly apartment-led, with villas adding a meaningful secondary contribution. Ready Market Performance Total Value: AED 825.4m Ready transactions were more diversified, with villas and commercial taking a larger share than in off plan. On The Micro Level Market Insights & Outlook Trading remained balanced, but off-plan strength set the tone, driven primarily by off-plan flats (42.4% of the entire day’s value). On the ready side, villa transactions were notably strong (30.6% of ready), signalling continued appetite for end-user family stock alongside investor demand. If this mix persists, expect developers to keep momentum anchored in apartment launches, while the secondary market continues to find depth in villas and well-located commercial assets. Data Source: Dubai Land Department *Only freehold transactions were used

April 22, 2026
16
News&Media

Dubai Real Estate Market Review 10-Mar-2026

How Dubai’s property market is navigating recent tensions A temporary pause: How Dubai’s property market is navigating recent tensions Dubai’s real estate activity slowed sharply after the February 28 conflict, with weekly transaction value falling nearly 50%. However, the market structure remains intact: off-plan still dominates, luxury deals continue, and investor interest persists. The data suggests a temporary “risk-off” pause rather than a fundamental market breakdown. Read the full article on Gulf Business Dubai real estate broker commissions hit $3.7bn as number of brokers reaches 32,294 The Dubai real estate brokerage sector recorded strong growth in 2025, with commissions and transaction volumes rising sharply as the industry expanded its role within the emirate’s property ecosystem. Read the full article on Arabian Business Abu Dhabi’s residential real estate market enters 2026 with strong investor confidence, robust demand drivers Abu Dhabi’s residential market enters 2026 strong, with record 2025 transactions (22,400 deals worth AED73.2bn). Off-plan dominates activity, while prices and rents continue rising. Driven by investor confidence, population growth, and limited supply, the market is expected to remain resilient with steady demand and continued price growth. Read the full article on Economy Middle East Off-plan apartment in Dubai’s Palm Jumeirah sells for Dh92.5 million Dubai sold a Dh92.5m off-plan apartment at Armani Beach Residences, Palm Jumeirah (about 11,520 sq ft, ~Dh8,020/sq ft). Midday transactions hit ~Dh2.4bn. Luxury demand remains strong: 2025 logged 6,668 deals worth Dh143.8bn, up sharply from 2024. Read the full article on Gulf News Dubai real estate: Key fundamentals continue to underpin long-term investor confidence Dubai’s residential market remains stable, supported by population growth, infrastructure, and regulation, Springfield Properties says. February 2026 logged 15,369 transactions worth AED45.39bn (+2.51% YoY volume, +9.59% value). Apartments led activity, while townhouses and villas showed strong family demand. Investor enquiries remain active, targeting opportunistic buys. Read the full article on Economy Middle East Dubai residential property market records $12.36bn in February sales across 15,369 transactions Dubai residential property market recorded 15,369 transactions worth AED45.39bn ($12.36bn) in February 2026, reflecting sustained activity across the emirate’s real estate sector. Read the full article on Arabian Business Dubai Residential REIT pays $300m dividend for 2025 Unit holders of Dubai Residential REIT, which listed on the Dubai Financial Market in May 2025, have approved a dividend for the second half of 2025 as the company’s revenues rise. Read the full article on Arabian Gulf Business Insight Dubai’s growing population set to sustain property momentum, analysts say Analysts expect Dubai’s housing market to moderate as a large supply wave arrives (about 180,000 units in 2026–28). Apartments, especially affordable studios/1-beds in high-delivery areas, are most exposed, while villas look more resilient. Demand should stay elevated, but growth may cool, with developers cushioned by backlogs and banks less exposed than past cycles. Read the full article on Gulf News Imtiaz Developments delivers first residential project on Dubai Islands from AED 6bln development portfolio Imtiaz Developments has handed over Beach Walk, becoming the first developer to complete and deliver a residential project on Dubai Islands. The milestone anchors the area’s next growth phase and strengthens Imtiaz’s early-mover position, with 15+ active projects and a Dubai Islands portfolio valued above AED6bn. Beach Walk is an 80-unit luxury waterfront development with resort-style amenities and is sold out. Read the full article on Zawya Dubai Real Estate Transactions as Reported on the 9th of March 2026 On the 09-Mar-2026, the total transacted value reached AED 1.60bn. Off-plan dominated with AED 1.14bn (71.4%), while Ready accounted for AED 458.2m (28.6%). Category Off-Plan (AED millions) Ready (AED millions) Flats 802.5 385.0 Villas 288.9 43.9 Hotel Apt. & Rooms 1.2 0.4 Commercial 49.8 28.8 Total 1,142.6 458.2 Off-Plan Market Performance Total Value: AED 1.14bn Off-plan demand stayed firmly apartment-led, with villas providing a meaningful secondary pillar of value. Ready Market Performance Total Value: AED 458.2m The ready segment remained heavily concentrated in apartments, with commercial contributing a noticeable slice relative to villas. On The Micro Level Market Insights & Outlook Overall activity was clearly risk-weighted toward off-plan, where flats captured the bulk of value. The ready market mirrored this structure with even stronger apartment concentration, suggesting end-user and investor liquidity continues to prioritize core residential stock, while non-residential activity remains present but secondary. Data Source: Dubai Land Department *Only freehold transactions were used

April 22, 2026
13
News&Media

Dubai Real Estate Weekly Market Analysis 09-Mar-2026

The Opening Week of March 2026 Reflected a Clear Slowdown in Market Activity The first week of March (Week 10) witnessed the start of the US-led military operations against Iran, which had a visible effect on Dubai’s real estate market. Category Off-Plan (AED millions) Ready (AED millions) Flats 3,740.6 1,516.0 Villas 772.6 415.4 Hotel Apt. & Rooms 1.8 76.6 Commercial 308.2 291.4 Total 4,823.1 2,459.3 The market recorded AED7.28 billion (Sales 6B, Mortgage 962M, Gifts 266M) in total transactions across 2,770 deals (2184 Sales, 459 Mortgage, 127 Gifts), transactions value dropped 31.6% and the number of transactions dropped 42.8%. Overall, Off-Plan transactions reached AED4.82 billion, representing 66.2% of the weekly market, while Ready property sales totalled AED2.46 billion, accounting for 33.8% of total trading. Off-Plan Market Performance Total Value: AED4.82 billion Share of Weekly Total: 66.2% The off-plan segment continued to dominate the market, driven primarily by apartment launches and strong investor demand for new developments. Sub-Category Value (AED millions) % of Off-Plan Flats 3,740.6 77.6% Villas 772.6 16.0% Hotel Apts & Rooms 1.8 0.04% Commercial 308.2 6.4% Apartments were the clear driver of off-plan activity, contributing over three-quarters of the segment’s value, reflecting continued appetite for investor-friendly apartment projects and payment plans. Top Performing Off-Plan Areas Area Value (AED millions) Al Yelayiss 1 546.7 Jumeirah Second 461.2 Palm Jumeirah 322.9 Palm Deira 292.2 Zaabeel Second 256.4 The top 10 off-plan areas generated AED2.70 billion, representing 56% of the entire off-plan market. Several high-value master-planned districts dominated the list. Al Yelayiss 1 (Damac Islands) led the market due to ongoing activity in large-scale development zones, while Jumeirah Second and Palm Jumeirah continued to attract high-end investment interest. Meanwhile, Palm Deira (Dubai Islands) and Zaabeel Second highlight the growing importance of major waterfront and redevelopment zones. Ready Market Performance Total Value: AED2.46 billion Share of Weekly Total: 33.8% The ready property market remained active, though it represented a smaller share of overall transactions compared with off-plan developments. Sub-Category Value (AED millions) % of Ready Flats 1,516.0 61.6% Villas 415.4 16.9% Hotel Apts & Rooms 76.6 3.1% Commercial 291.4 11.8% Apartments again led the segment, accounting for over 60% of ready property transactions, while villas maintained a stable secondary share. Top Performing Ready Areas Area Value (AED millions) The Greens 343.0 Dubai Marina 246.3 Burj Khalifa 160.3 Palm Jumeirah 156.2 Jumeirah Village Circle 141.2 The top 10 ready areas generated AED1.44 billion, representing 58% of the ready market. Established residential districts dominated the ready segment. The Greens led weekly trading; it was mainly portfolio mortgage of Onyx Tower shops and the Hotel. Dubai Marina, Burj Khalifa, and Palm Jumeirah continued to attract premium buyers and investors seeking trophy assets and short-term rental potential. On the Micro Level Weekly Comparison Metric Last Week This Week Change Total Volume AED10.65B AED7.28B -31.6% Transactions 4,841 2,770 -42.8% Market Insights & Outlook Despite the week-on-week decline, Dubai’s real estate market remains structurally unchanged. Off-plan developments continue to dominate the market, supported by new project launches and investor-friendly payment structures, while the ready market maintains stable liquidity in established residential communities. The continued concentration of activity in areas such as Palm Jumeirah, Business Bay, and Dubai Marina, alongside the emergence of large development corridors like Al Yelayiss and Palm Deira (Dubai Islands), highlights the dual nature of Dubai’s property cycle, balancing mature investment districts with the next generation of mega developments. The market is expected to remain active. The coming few weeks will play a pivotal role in shaping the market in 2026. Data Source: Dubai Land Department Only freehold transactions are included

April 22, 2026
15
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Dubai Real Estate Market Review 13-May-2026

Dubai Real Estate Market Review 06-Mar-2026

Dubai records Dh422m apartment sale, third highest ever amid regional tensions Dubai office rents jump 32.4 per cent to $61 per sq ft as commercial property deals reach $3.38bn Dubai office real estate market recorded a sharp increase in rents in 2025, as strong occupier demand and limited supply of high-quality space drove prices higher across key business districts. Read the full article on Arabian Business UAE firms say supply chains remain robust, well-capitalised amid regional war UAE companies and banks say operations remain stable despite regional tensions. Supply chains for essential goods are functioning normally, retailers continue serving customers, and banks report strong liquidity and capital levels, with no disruption to services or funding access across the country’s food retail and financial sectors. Read the full article on Khaleej Times Awqaf Dubai signs AED200 million investment contracts to develop real estate endowments supporting mosques Awqaf Dubai signed 20-year investment deals worth AED200 million to develop endowment projects in Al Aweer and Wadi Al Amardi. The commercial complexes are expected to generate 10% annual returns, helping fund Dubai’s mosques and strengthen long-term financial sustainability through private-sector partnerships. Read the full article on Dubai Media Office Dubai records Dh422m apartment sale, third highest ever amid regional tensions Dubai recorded a Dh422 million off-plan apartment sale at Aman Residences in Jumeirah 2, now the emirate’s third-most expensive apartment transaction. The 31,200 sq ft ultra-luxury unit highlights continued strength in Dubai’s ultra-prime property market despite regional geopolitical tensions. Read the full article on Gulf News Iran conflict puts Dubai’s booming real estate market to the test: sentiment shock or structural risk? Rising Iran-linked regional tensions and missile activity have raised concerns for Dubai’s property market. Analysts expect a short-term slowdown in transactions as investors adopt a wait-and-see approach. However, strong fundamentals, record 2025 transactions, global investor demand, high rental yields and population growth, are expected to support long-term resilience. Read the full article on CNBC Dubai real estate reinforces its safe-haven status as UAE continues to demonstrate stability Dubai’s real estate market remains resilient despite regional tensions, supported by strong investor confidence, active transactions and solid long-term fundamentals. Analysts say any slowdown is temporary and sentiment-driven, while the UAE’s stability, regulation and safe-haven status continue to attract global capital. Read the full article on Economy Middle East Iran conflict sends UAE developer bonds tumbling The prices of UAE real estate developers’ bonds have tumbled since the United States and Israel launched strikes on Iran, due to selling pressure from international investors seeking to reduce their regional risk exposure. Read the full article on Arabian Gulf Business Insight Dubai property: JAD Global breaks ground on JAD288 as portfolio reaches $599m JAD Global Real Estate Development has announced the groundbreaking of its JAD288 residential project in Jumeirah Garden City in Dubai, alongside the appointment of Al Safa Contracting as the main contractor, marking the start of construction works. Read the full article on Arabian Business Dubai Real Estate Transactions as Reported on the 5th of March 2026 On the 05-Mar-2026, the total transacted value reached AED 1,816,242,994. Off plan dominated with AED 1,250,718,345 (68.9%), while Ready accounted for AED 565,524,649 (31.1%). Category Off-Plan (AED millions) Ready (AED millions) Flats 1,111.6 376.0 Villas 112.6 155.0 Hotel Apt. & Rooms 1.8 9.8 Commercial 24.7 24.7 Total 1,250.7 565.5 Off-Plan Market Performance Total Value: AED 1,250,718,345 Dubai’s off-plan market was overwhelmingly driven by apartment sales, which accounted for nearly nine-tenths of all off-plan value. Villa transactions represented a modest share, while commercial and hospitality assets played only a marginal role in the day’s off-plan activity. Ready Market Performance Total Value: AED 565,524,649 In the ready segment, apartments remained the primary driver of transactions, contributing roughly two-thirds of the segment’s value. Villas followed with a strong secondary share, while commercial and hotel apartment transactions made up a relatively small portion of completed property sales. On The Micro Level Market Insights & Outlook The day’s transactions highlight the continued dominance of the off-plan market in Dubai, accounting for nearly 70% of total value. Strong demand for apartment units reflects sustained investor appetite for rental-yield-driven assets, while the healthy participation of ready villas suggests ongoing end-user demand within established communities. Together, these dynamics reinforce Dubai’s balanced market structure, where both speculative off-plan investment and long-term residential demand coexist. Data Source: Dubai Land Department *Only freehold transactions were used

April 22, 2026
17
News&Media

Dubai Real Estate Market Review 05-Mar-2026

cash buyers dominate as Dubai real estate maintains strong start to year First sales, cash buyers dominate as Dubai real estate maintains strong start to year Dubai’s February property market stayed strong: developers led with Dh42.1bn across 11,351 primary sales vs Dh18.6bn from 5,628 resales, 69% cash. Total sales hit Dh60.8bn (+18.4% YoY). Commercial surged; apartments rose; plots up; villas down; prices +12.2%. Read the full article on Khaleej Times Dubai property sales hit $16.6bn in February as off-plan market surges The Dubai real estate market maintained a powerful start to 2026 as property sales reached AED60.8bn ($16.6bn) in February, with first sales from developers dominating activity and cash buyers accounting for more than two thirds of resales. Read the full article on Arabian Business Opinion: Why Dubai’s Real Estate Isn’t Flinching Despite alarming Hormuz and missile headlines, daily life and real estate activity in Dubai continued. Temporary airspace restrictions caused travel disruption, but transactions still closed. Past regional crises typically drive wealth into Dubai. A cash-heavy, low-leverage market supports price stability; rents and school enrolments remain steady. Read the full article on The Core UAE real estate to stay resilient, able to absorb shocks: expert An expert says UAE real estate can absorb geopolitical shocks due to diversified investors, open capital flows, strong regulation, and non-oil economic strength. Dubai and Abu Dhabi remain stable havens with strong foreign demand. GCC real estate exceeded $380bn in 2025; impacts are mainly sentiment, likely short-term unless tensions persist. Read the full article on Zawya Emaar confirms all communities, malls and development projects continue to operate normally Emaar says all operations are running normally. It posted record 2025 results: property sales AED80.4bn, revenue AED49.6bn, pre-tax profit AED25.7bn, and backlog AED155bn; recurring income was 32% of EBITDA. 2026 started strong: UAE property sales AED17.2bn Jan–Feb (+118% YoY). Read the full article on Economy Middle East Union Properties joins MIT’s Iindustrial liaison program to accelerate technology-led transformation in real estate Union Properties joined MIT’s Industrial Liaison Program (starting Feb 2026) to access research, training, and startup networks. The partnership targets applied innovation in real estate via four pillars: employee learning, MIT case studies, executive education, and structured startup engagement. Success metrics include measurable L&D impact and at least one MIT-led initiative implemented. Read the full article on Zawya UAE’s forest living trend reshapes real estate with nature-led communities New villa masterplans in Dubai and Sharjah are marketing dense greenery as a core feature, using trees and shaded paths to improve comfort in the heat. Developers say “forest living” and biophilic design support stronger demand and pricing, with projects like Ghaf Woods and Arada’s Masaar scaling up nature-led, climate-responsive planning. Read the full article on Khaleej Times Why GCC Contractors Are Rethinking Everything in 2026 Regional tensions aren’t stopping Gulf construction, but are adding cost and scheduling risk. Disruptions in Hormuz and renewed Red Sea warnings raise freight delays and war-risk insurance, tightening procurement timelines. Contractors are stress-testing cash flow, reviewing fixed-price contract exposure, documenting disruptions, and prioritising workforce continuity, critical for Saudi projects with immovable deadlines (Expo 2030, 2034 World Cup). Read the full article on Construction Week Online Dubai Real Estate Transactions as Reported on the 4th of March 2026 On the 04-Mar-2026, the total transacted value reached AED 1.31B. Off-plan dominated with AED 0.97B (74.2%), while Ready accounted for AED 0.34B (25.8%). Category Off-Plan (AED millions) Ready (AED millions) Flats 823.3 258.4 Villas 107.6 46.9 Hotel Apt. & Rooms 0.0 4.0 Commercial 38.6 27.3 Total 969.5 336.7 Off-Plan Market Performance Total Value: AED 969.5M Off-plan activity was overwhelmingly driven by flat sales, with only a modest contribution from villas and commercial units. Ready Market Performance Total Value: AED 336.7M Ready market value remained led by flats, while villas and commercial provided meaningful secondary support. On The Micro Level Market Insights & Outlook The day’s trading leaned strongly toward the primary market, signalling continued buyer preference for developer-led stock. Ready transactions were smaller in total value but more balanced, with commercial and villas adding depth alongside flats. If this mix persists, it supports both near-term launch absorption and steady end-user / investor activity in the secondary market. Data Source: Dubai Land Department *Only freehold transactions were used

April 22, 2026
16
News&Media

Dubai Real Estate Market Review 03-Mar-2026

Dubai Police alert residents to new rental scam online Law firm wins Dhs3.4m claim after representing developer in major Dubai property case Dubai Civil Court ordered a real estate developer to pay a law firm Dhs3.412 million in unpaid legal fees plus 5% annual interest from the lawsuit date, after the developer, despite a written contract and written acknowledgment of liability, failed to pay the remaining balance for litigation services through appeal and cassation. Read the full article on Gulf Today Dubai property sales hit $16.5bn in February 2026 as DLD reports 18.14 per cent surge in value The Dubai real estate sector saw total sales hit 16,959 transactions, generating a combined value of AED60.6bn ($16.5bn), marking a 5 per cent increase in sales volume and an 18.14 per cent increase in value compared to February 2025. Read the full article on Arabian Business Free stays, hot meals: How UAE businesses are supporting anxious travellers, residents UAE businesses are turning social-media offers into coordinated relief during the conflict, free home repairs (Renovo), temporary shelter and free stays (Danube Properties, Peace Homes, Mileo Hotel The Palm), meal support for vulnerable groups and delivery riders (Petite Gourmet), and free/discounted holiday rentals with waived platform fees (AraBnB Holiday Homes, LivJaza). Read the full article on Khaleej Times UAE investment, banking platforms report outages after AWS Dubai disruption amid regional tensions Several UAE-based investment platforms including Stake, Sarwa and Liv by Emirates NBD reported temporary service disruptions on Monday after an infrastructure outage at Amazon Web Services’ (AWS) Dubai data centre affected access to their applications, according to customer emails seen by Arabian Business. Read the full article on Arabian Business Arif Developments unveils Kabbali Hills in the presence of Sheikh Sultan Saqer Rashid Humaid Al Nuaimi Arif Developments launched Kabbali Hills, a luxury villa community in Helio 2, Ajman, at a showcase attended by senior dignitaries and industry guests. The project features upscale villas, landscaped planning, and strong connectivity, targeting families and investors with promises of quality, lifestyle amenities, and ROI potential as Ajman’s premium market grows. Read the full article on Gulf News Explainer: What business leaders should do during regional escalation, according to UAE CEOs As regional tensions continue to affect airspace, logistics and staff movement across the Gulf, three UAE-based executives told Arabian Business that leadership in moments like this is defined by speed, structure and clarity. Read the full article on Arabian Business Searching for a home? Dubai Police alert residents to new rental scam online Dubai Police warned of fake rental ads online offering unrealistically cheap apartments. Scammers use stolen listing photos, impersonate landlords/agents, and demand upfront “deposits” or fees before viewings or contracts, sometimes with forged documents. Residents should rent only through verified parties and report scams via the Police app, e-Crime, or 901. Read the full article on Gulf News Dubai Real Estate Transactions as Reported on the 2nd of March 2026 On the 02-Mar-2026, the total transacted value reached AED 1.09bn. Off-plan accounted for AED 446.2m (40.8%), while Ready dominated with AED 648.0m (59.2%). Category Off-Plan (AED millions) Ready (AED millions) Flats 327.5 256.6 Villas 118.7 59.8 Hotel Apt. & Rooms 0.0 170.4 Commercial 0.0 161.1 Total 446.2 648.0 Off-Plan Market Performance Total Value: AED 446.2m Off-plan activity was highly concentrated in flats, with villas providing the remaining quarter and no recorded value in hotel or commercial. Ready Market Performance Total Value: AED 648.0m Ready trading was more diversified, with flats leading but hotel apartments and commercial together contributing ~51% of ready value, an unusually strong mix versus a typical “residential-only” day. On The Micro Level Market Insights & Outlook Overall trading came in lower than usual at AED 1.09bn, likely reflecting work-from-home arrangements and heightened geopolitical uncertainty, which can delay decision-making, reduce in-person viewings, and slow transaction processing. Notably, the market leaned toward ready assets (59%), while flats remained the single biggest driver of value citywide (over half of total), supported by meaningful defensive demand in income-oriented ready hotel and commercial stock. Data Source: Dubai Land Department *Only freehold transactions were used

April 22, 2026
9
News&Media

Dubai Real Estate Weekly Market Analysis 02-Mar-2026

Total trading reached AED10.65 bn in Week 9 across 4,841 transactions. Off-Plan dominated with AED6.64 bn (62.4%), while Ready accounted for AED4.00 bn (37.6%). Land transactions reached AED 10 bn. Category Off-Plan (AED millions) Ready (AED millions) Flat 4,852.1 2,725.5 Villa 998.7 894.3 Hotel Apt. & Rooms 36.2 136.3 Commercials 757.2 245.7 Total 6,644.1 4,001.8 Off-Plan Market Performance Total Value: AED6.64 bn Share of Weekly Total: 62.4% Off-Plan Category Value (AED billions) % of Off-Plan Flat 4.85 73.0% Villa 1.00 15.0% Hotel Apt. & Rooms 0.04 0.5% Commercials 0.76 11.4% Total 6.64 100.0% Top Performing Off-Plan Areas Top 10 areas generated AED 3.1 bn (47.1% of Off-Plan value). Area Value (AED millions) % of Off-Plan Dubai Islands 489.4 7.4% Business Bay 431.5 6.5% Al Yelayiss 1 423.6 6.4% Business Park 305.1 4.6% Madinat Al Mataar 284.7 4.3% Ready Market Performance Total Value: AED4.00 bn Share of Weekly Total: 37.6% Ready Category Value (AED billions) % of Ready Flat 2.73 68.1% Villa 0.89 22.3% Hotel Apt. & Rooms 0.14 3.4% Commercials 0.25 6.1% Total 4.00 100.0% Top Performing Ready Areas Top 10 areas generated AED 2.2 bn (55.1% of Ready value). Area Value (AED millions) % of Ready Palm Jumeirah 417.2 10.4% Dubai Marina 308.3 7.7% Business Bay 300.9 7.5% Burj Khalifa 286.3 7.2% Dubai Creek Harbour 223.6 5.6% On the Micro Level Weekly Comparison Metric Last Week This Week Change Total Value AED10.17 bn AED10.65 bn +AED0.48 bn (+4.7%) Transactions 4,184 4,841 +657 (+15.7%) Market Insights & Outlook Week 9 delivered a higher-value, higher-activity market versus last week: total traded value rose 4.7%, while transactions jumped 15.7%, a combination that points to a broader mid-market uplift (average ticket size eased from ~AED2.43m to ~AED2.20m, -9.5%). Structurally, the market remained understandably flat-led: flats contributed ~71.2% of total value (Off-Plan flats at AED4.85 bn alone made up 73.0% of Off-Plan). Villas were the clear #2 at ~17.8% of total value, while commercials (~9.4%) leaned heavily Off-Plan (AED0.76 bn vs AED0.25 bn Ready), signalling stronger forward-looking business/property positioning in the pipeline. Geographically, value concentration stayed high: the top 10 Off-Plan areas captured 47.1% of Off-Plan value, led by Dubai Islands, Business Bay, and Al Yelayiss 1, while the top 10 Ready areas captured 55.1%, led by Palm Jumeirah, Dubai Marina, and Business Bay. The repeated appearance of Business Bay, Palm Jumeirah, and JVC across both segments highlights where liquidity and developer/buyer confidence are clustering as the market scales into Q1 momentum. In light of the recent events, we will be monitoring the market closely to determine the effects of the market. Data Source: Dubai Land Department Only freehold transactions are included

April 22, 2026
13
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